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KEVIN KING
Tulsa, Oklahoma

First Flip Deal Analyzer

The backwards math from Flip Your First House. Put in real numbers and it tells you the most you can pay — and whether the deal you're looking at passes or fails.

STEP 1

What it sells for finished

Your ARV from sold comps — finished houses, same pocket, similar size, recent. Use the boring comps, not the outlier. The bank's appraiser will grade this number later.

$
$
STEP 2

Rehab, in trade buckets

One number per trade, labor and material together. Licensed people on licensed trades. Leave a bucket at zero if the house doesn't need it — but walk every room before you decide it doesn't.

%
Rehab total$0

Every dollar here comes off your max offer, dollar for dollar.

STEP 3

Holding costs

What it costs you every month you own it, times your whole timeline — remodel plus time on market. Be honest about the timeline. First flips run long.

$
$
Holding total$0

Stretch the timeline and watch this grow — slow is the expensive way to be careful.

STEP 4

Selling costs

Commission plus closing costs. If you're not an agent, budget the full commission.

%
$
Selling total$0
THE VERDICT
Put your numbers in

All-in has to land at 78–80% of ARV or less. Most houses fail this math. That's the system working. Not sure where to start? Load the sample deal in Step 1.

The check at closing is the scoreboard: sale price minus everything — loan payoffs, whoever you borrowed from, selling costs. This projection assumes you hit your budget. Something will run over. That's what the contingency is for.

STEP 5

The bank check

You need a signed contract before the bank does anything. Then the bank orders an appraisal — the as-completed value — and everything swings on that number. Most banks lend around 80% of it, and some still want a percentage of your cost down.

$
%
Bank will lend about
Purchase + rehab (project cost)
Cash you need to bring
When the real appraisal comes back: put the appraiser's number in the ARV box and rerun everything. His number decides the deal, not yours.
MAX YOU CAN PAY
$—
Enter ARV